Bitcoin price lags Stock-to-Flow as $260K BTC prediction holds firm
Despite a steady climb past $110,000, Bitcoin (BTC) remains meaningfully below its projected valuation according to the long-term Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model popularized by pseudonymous analyst PlanB. The model’s latest 463-day forecast suggests Bitcoin should currently be trading at approximately $260,031, a more than 130% premium over its current price. Current Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model. Source. Bitbo For those unfamiliar, stock-to-flow is a ratio derived from the total existing supply of Bitcoin (stock) divided by the new issuance (flow) entering circulation through mining. It is, in essence, a measure of absolute scarcity. The orange trajectory on the model indicates that Bitcoin’s price historically gravitates toward the S2F curve over time, albeit with volatility. The closer Bitcoin tracks to this model, the more confidently one might view BTC as behaving like a commodity with predictable scarcity-driven value appreciation, akin to gold or silver. ...